Análise da convergência de renda para os estados e municípios da região Centro-Oeste do Brasil : entre 1999 a 2015

Abstract

This work explores the regional income inequality of the Brazilian Midwest, 1999-2015. Using a new set spanning 11 years, the evolution of inequality in regional GDP per capita was analyzed. To achieve this analysis, growth literature was used using spatial exploratory tools. To evaluate the data is employed an exposed instrumental in Taken et al. (2015). The objective is to understand not only the long-term evolution in terms of convergence or dispersion, but also aspects related to the distribution of income, that is, modality, mobility and spatial clustering. Therefore, tools such as core density estimates, boxplots, transition probability arrays, Shorrocks indexes, Kendall s maps, Moran s and Lisa were used. The results point to the persistence of differences in regional incomes, both for States and municipalities, consequently a movement of convergence would not be occurring. Within the process there were two distinct periods in the process of economic development. Firstly, there was an increase in regional inequality accompanied by a strong mobility of income between 1999 and 2011 for the States and between 1999 and 2006 for municipalities. This was followed by a period of regional convergence that lasted about six years, in which mobility in class or in the income class was rather low. In the second moment, from 2011 to the states and 2006 to the municipalities, they again diverged and increased the regional inequality. As a result, the spatial grouping became less meaningful and of inverse correlation accompanying to a concentration of richer and poorer regions. Mobility has also been virtually non-existent in recent years. All in all, the study shows the importance of history in the formation of the regional income distribution of the Brazilian Midwest.